live chat Live chat
insight by wfx

Welcome to Wordwide FX's new enterprise!

Insight by WFX is a synthesis of our passion for languages and the financial markets. Here you will find technical and fundamental analyses from our clients, media partners and contributors in different languages, as well as discussions on languages and translation. And of course we will keep you updated on what is happening inside Wordwide FX Financial Translations. Hope you enjoy it! Greetings from the Wordwide FX team!

quotes
ES postlanguage-image
11/10/2018

El EURUSD marca nuevos máximos de sesión

author-image

By Greg Michalowski @GregMikeFX, Director of Client Education at ForexLive. Translated by Wordwide FX Financial Translations

El EURUSD ha marcado nuevos máximos de sesión tras conocerse el IPC, que ha resultado bastante moderado. El precio marcó un máximo de 1,5988 (digamos 1,600) y luego ha retrocedido un poco.

Si echamos un vistazo al gráfico horario (abajo), veremos que el recorrido alcista rompió sobre una línea de tendencia de canal en 1,1592. Ahora, el precio se opera por encima y por debajo de esta línea, y los traders evalúan si el par debe seguir su recorrido hasta el 50% (bajada desde el máximo del 24 de septiembre) y la importante MM de 100 días en la zona de 1,1623-26. Esta zona debería hallar vendedores en caso de ataque.

Abajo, vigilaremos la zona de 1,15778, pues podría proporcionar soporte. El máximo registrado durante la sesión asiática se dio en 1,572. La zona de 1,572-78 debería aguantar si los compradores quieren mant4ner el control del mercado. Si el precio, en cambio, pierde posiciones, el panorama alcista quedaría un tanto en entredicho.

post-image
quotes
ID postlanguage-image
04/09/2018

Rupiah anjlok ke level terendah 20 tahun, perdagangan kembali tegang

author-image

By Hussein Sayed, Chief Market Strategist with FXTM. Translated by Wordwide FX Financial Translations

Rupiah merosot ke level terendah terhadap Dolar sejak krisis keuangan Asia 1998 di tengah ketegangan dagang yang memburuk.

Aksi jual brutal Lira Turki dan Peso Argentina juga sangat berperan pada depresiasi drastis Rupiah. USDIDR mencapai 14810 pada saat laporan ini dituliskan. Gejolak di Turki dan Argentina memicu ketidakpastian, sehingga mata uang pasar berkembang dapat semakin melemah. Walaupun Bank Indonesia menyatakan telah mengintervensi pasar valas dan pasar obligasi, tekanan eksternal dalam bentuk ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga AS dapat terus memperburuk situasi bagi Rupiah. BI mungkin terpaksa menaikkan suku bunga lagi guna berusaha menanggulangi depresiasi Rupiah. Kenaikan suku bunga mungkin dapat membantu Rupiah, namun juga dapat memengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia.

Saham negatif karena ketegangan dagang

Pekan lalu, investor berharap bahwa perkembangan positif antara AS - Meksiko dapat meluas ke Kanada, Eropa, dan mungkin China. Optimisme ini terpaksa sirna ketika AS gagal mencapai kesepakatan dengan Kanada di hari Jumat. Presiden Donald Trump mengancam bahwa apabila kesepakatan yang adil tidak tercapai, Kanada akan dikeluarkan dan apabila Kongres mengintervensi, ia akan menghentikan NAFTA. 

Trump juga mungkin memperburuk perang dagang apabila ia memutuskan untuk menerapkan tarif terhadap $200 miliar barang China. Ini bisa saja terjadi saat periode komentar publik berakhir pada hari Kamis. Beijing menyatakan akan membalas dengan tarif terhadap $60 miliar barang AS. Jika ini terjadi, hampir 85% barang AS yang dikirim ke China akan terkena tarif. Sementara itu, separuh dari impor China yang totalnya $505 miliar akan terpengaruh. 

Shanghai Composite dan CSI300 merosot lebih dari 1% di hari Senin, dan walaupun valuasi mulai terlihat relatif murah, investor mungkin terus menjual saham China karena ketidakpastian mengenai keberlanjutan perang dagang dan dampaknya pada pertumbuhan ekonomi.  Ini mungkin saat yang tepat untuk investor yang ingin memasuki value investing jangka panjang. Pasar juga mungkin akan melihat penurunan pada saham AS saat trading dimulai di hari Selasa karena selera risiko berkurang. 

Data hari Senin menunjukkan bahwa sektor manufaktur China tumbuh dengan laju paling lambat dalam 14 bulan di bulan Agustus. PMI Manufaktur Caixin/Markit melemah ke 50.6 bulan lalu, karena order ekspor merosot selama lima bulan berturut-turut. Meninjau indeks PMI yang mengalami kontraksi, kita perlu melihat langkah apa yang diambil pembuat kebijakan untuk mendorong pertumbuhan. 

Di Eropa, investor juga akan mencari bukti apakah ketegangan dagang akan menekan data PMI final yang sedikit menguat bulan lalu di Jerman dan Prancis.  PMI manufaktur Inggris akan menjadi sorotan utama investor, karena Pound merosot di bawah 1.3 terhadap Dolar.

 Untuk informasi selengkapnya, kunjungi: FXTM                     
 

post-image
quotes
ZH postlanguage-image
03/09/2018

只要空头仍然控制市场,美元兑瑞郎的目标价可能在更低的价位。

author-image

By Lukman Otunuga @Lukman_FXTM, Research Analyst with FXTM. Translated by Wordwide FX Financial Translations

自2月16日创出最低点0.91867(在研究期间)以来,美元兑瑞郎在日图中一直处于上升趋势,形成更高的顶部和更高的底部,直到7月13日,其录得最高点1.00673(在研究期间)。 目前,瑞郎一直延续自2018年5月9日以来的横盘走势。决定性突破关键支撑位0.97874将打开反转下行空间。 所有三个技术分析指标都支持上述情况。即,MACD(平滑异同平均线)的值正处于零线以下,从而确认美元兑瑞郎向下移动。此外,价格低于线性加权移动平均线,而动力振荡指标的值也低于均衡线100,因此为下跌趋势。只要空头仍然控制市场并且供应超过需求,那么美元兑瑞郎货币对的目标价将可能为更低的价格水平。根据斐波那契价格目标,第一个目标计算为0.96150(161.8%),而第二个目标估算为0.93361(261.8%)。 最后的斐波那契目标价为0.88847。  当然,还有待观察该货币对将下跌多少。

 

 

独特的三河底

在市场延续下跌趋势的同时,交易者对市场方向做空。  长期下跌迫使多头注意到低价,因此随后做多,从而防止市场进一步下跌。

 

第二个波段是第一波段的延续,但更小。 这一次,空头无法创下更低的低点,因为买方获得了较低价格的优势,他们进入市场并预期价格上行。在第三波段,价格走势维持在一个小区间内,在任何一个方向都没有出现极端走势。卖方无力推动市场走低,表明市场疲软,而这意味着抛售压力正在逐渐消退,反转即将来临。

post-image
quotes
ES postlanguage-image
05/06/2018

El GBPUSD retrocede de nuevo hacia los máximos de ayer y trata de mantener a los compradores al mando

author-image

By Greg Michalowski @GregMikeFX, Director of Client Education at ForexLive. Translated by Wordwide FX Financial Translations

El par se detiene bajo la MM de 100 sesiones en el gráfico de 4 horas, lo cual sugiere que la batalla entre compradores y vendedores sigue en pie.

Hoy, el GBPUSD ha subido con fuerza en reacción al PMI del sector servicios, que se ha saldado mejor de lo esperado.

 

Sin embargo, al igual que sucedió ayer, el precio  superó la MM de 100 sesiones en el gráfico de 4 horas (línea azul en el gráfico superior), que se sitúa en 1,33936. El máximo de hoy se ha situado en 1,33915. El ataque de hoy ha sido más serio que el de ayer. Como referencia, os comento que la última vez que el precio escaló sobre esta media móvil fue el 19 de abril, ya hace algunas semanas…

El precio superó el nivel de resistencia arriba y volvió a atacar los últimos máximos en giro registrados el jueves de la semana pasada en 1,33478 (el mínimo de hoy alcanzó 1,33442). Ahora mismo operamos entre este nivel abajo y la MM de 100 sesiones arriba. En medio está el 38,2% en 1,33615.

Si echamos un vistazo al gráfico de cinco minutos (abajo), veremos que la corrección de la acción alcista también se detuvo cerca del 50% del rango del día y de la MM de 100 sesiones, en trayectoria ascendente (línea azul en 1,33468). Esta combinación de factores técnicos da cierto impulso al par. Esta media móvil y este 50% nos darán pistas sobre el sesgo del precio para la jornada de hoy. Si aguantamos arriba, los compradores mantendrán un poco más el control. Si bajamos, es posible que los que querían recuperar terreno y que no lo consiguieron contra la MM de 100 sesiones en el gráfico de 4 horas, arriba, se retiren.

Puedes leer el análisis original en inglés en ForexLive, aquí.

post-image
quotes
ES postlanguage-image
10/05/2018

Rápido vistazo a algunos majors...

author-image

By Greg Michalowski @GregMikeFX, Director of Client Education at ForexLive. Translated by Wordwide FX Financial Translations

Vamos a comentar algunos niveles clave de algunos de los pares de divisas principales.

EURUSD

El precio rompe sobre la MM de 100 horas en 1,1897 y ahora vuelve a atacar el nivel de ruptura. ¿Aguantará? Si lo hace, es preciso perforar la MM de 200 horas en 1,19537. El precio no ha estado por encima de esta media móvil desde el 19 de abril. 

GBPUSD

El par baja y ataca el triple suelo de la zona de 1,3483-86 (ahora mismo cae bajo esta zona). Ruptura clave.

Si echamos un vistazo al gráfico diario (abajo), veremos que el 38,2% de la subida que arrancó en enero de 2017 se sitúa en 1,3463- El si precio desciende bajo esta zona, aumentará el tono bajista. Ahora, el precio trata de alejarse de la MM de 200 días.

USDJPY

El USDJPY no consiguió superar los máximos de la semana pasada. El IPC hizo caer el precio, que alcanzó el 50%/MM de 100 horas y se detuvo. El par trata de aguantar en la mitad superior del rango reciente, pero se mantiene errático. El precio está por debajo de la MM de 200 días en 110,165 y la MM de 100 días en 108,512, que aún sigue bajando,

 

post-image
quotes
09/05/2018

How Much is the Lord of the Rings Franchise Worth?

author-image

By Wordwide FX Financial Translations

Via Moneyinc.com

By Nat Berman

Since the books publications, The Lord of the Rings has been making a solid stream of income. But more recently the millennium movies rocked the box office with ticket sales, and the books gained a new Frodo following.  From there revival video games, action figures and other merchandise has exploded around the world. How much is the Lord of the Rings franchise worth? To ascertain anywhere near a close estimate, all of the limbs of the entertainment branch of the LOTR tree must be analyzed. Here they are:

The Tolkien Estate

The Tolkien estate, run by the author’s son, Christopher, is still making money hand over fist. The Telegraph estimates that book sales alone for 2001 were up to 50 million pounds worldwide. That’s before they sat down with Houghton Mifflin to discuss further rights stemming from future book sales. In 2001, it was reported that Christopher was quite upset that the family would not be making cash directly from the movie deals.  It’s also been reportsedthat John Ronald Reuel Tolkien Tolkien was worth 500 million pounds when he died in 1978. His son Christopher, who oversees the family business of wheeling and dealing agreements about his Dad’s masterpiece, and also edits and annotates the notes and stories his famous father left behind, Christopher, who is not a fan of the movies, perhaps because they didn’t directly make him a dime, balked at some of the merchandising, and successfully stopped a Lord of the Rings slot machine that was developed by Warner Brothers.

Houghton Mifflin, the official U.S. publisher of Tolkien’s work for more than 60 years, has a lot to smile about. They took a risk and had paid a hefty sum to acquire the rights to the movie tie-in volumes. The company had made lots of cash from JRR Tolkien’s work with Lord of the Rings movies in 2001,2002, and 2003 and then expanding The Hobbit into a trilogy over ten years later. There were opportunities for endless publications that explained and highlighted the settings and characters of “The Nerd Bible”, or Lord of the Rings Trilogy. Online MBAaverages the figure of new and used book sales to be $2.25 billion.

It’s not a good idea to mess with the Tolkien’s literature, as one Russian author Kirill Eskovm found out when he was threatened by the estate because he wrote his version of Lord of the Rings, The Last Ringbearer, giving fans a glimpse of how the story would be told if Orcs were the good guys. This book could not be released in English because the Tolkien estate does not approve, but fans everywhere have downloaded underground translated copies.

Box Office Movie Sales

Despite purists who are upset about the deletion of Tom Bombadil, fans who never even heard of the book were won over by Peter Jackson’s award winning film trilogy. According to The Minute MBA, the movies are the sixth highest grossing movie franchise of all time, making close to $4 billion.

Game Wars

In 1982 a little computer game called The Hobbit was introduced. It was popular with die hard LOTR fans, but did not strike gold. The story of a cute little hobbit with a bunch of grumpy dwarves did not have much appeal for anyone, except for those who still have their “Frodo Lives” tee shirt from their college days in the 1960s, and kids who had seen the cartoon version of the movie. Electronic Arts (EA), paired some action packed and rather violent adventure games based more heavily on the movie plots than literary cannon. One game ruled them all, from PS2 to Xbox and Gameboy.

Not to be outdone, the Tolkien estate licensed their own game with Universal Interactive, closely based on the plot of the first book,  The Fellowship of the Ring. As it was more for hard core book canon fans than die hard gamers, the game based on the second book never made it to the shelves. Another video game based on the Hobbit was released by Vivaldi Universal and Sierra, but as the movies had not yet brought Thorin and Company back to life in cinematic glory, it didn’t break any sales records. With franchises, timing is everything. If they had waited ten years and made Thorin’s avatar look like Richard Armitage, who played the lead dwarf in the films, it would have flown off the shelves.

The Tolkien estate finally gave in to EA games to use book material that was not included in the movie so that the characters and plot could be more richly developed. Because of this, there are so many games that sprang from the movie and films, and estimate of sales would be impossible. If EA games is worth 34 billion dollars then it can be assumed that part of it was made from sales of The Lord of the Rings games like The Battle for Middle Earth series. The Lord of the Rings: Conquest was the last game to be released by EA and then Warner Brother’s bought the license to turn out more games before the release of the blockbuster Hobbit movie trilogy.

Merchandise

Action figures, Legos, jewelry, drink cups, and even Hobbit doll houses rode the coattails of this massive mix of literature and film adaptations, so the entire worth of the Lord of the Rings franchise grows with every new movie release, including extended video editions of the theater versions, with commentary from the cast and crew plus deleted scenes. Fans are clamoring for Peter Jackson to finish the job and make the Silmarillion, which if this happens, will give the other stories a new revival.

The big winners in this endeavor are Peter Jackson and the movie cast, Houghton Mifflin Publishing, and of course the Tolkien estate, even if they dispute the fact. New Zealand has also benefitted from tourism resulting from the film’s location, although much of the filming, particularly for the later films, was done on green screen. So in the end it can be said that the entire Lord of the Rings Franchise is more valuable than all of the Mithril in the Mines of Moria.

All tolled?  A specific number is extremely hard to guess but an estimate of $10-$15 billion is not entirely out of the question.

 

post-image